Thu, Sep 12, 2024

From Ballots to Boardrooms: How Elections Impact and Influence the Business Landscape

Navigating political risk, technological advancements and uncertain market conditions requires foresight, adaptability and strategic planning. In this series, Kroll experts examine five critical risk areas impacting businesses and elections, offering insights to help firms navigate and plan for the future.
Webinar Replay: How 2024 Elections Influence Business Strategies — Adapting to Change

Businesses must anticipate and recognize how geopolitical risk can affect their financial and risk strategies. There are direct forms of geopolitical risk, which occur when political conditions in the countries in which firms are operating change in a way that impacts the business environment. This could be a change of government, the passage of new legislation or even the outbreak of a civil war. There are also indirect forms of risk, such as political events outside the country of operation that can impact business conditions, including supply chain disruptions.

Elections can represent a particular form of political risk, predictable in timing, allowing businesses to prepare for potential outcomes.

Three Notable Trends From This Year’s Elections So Far:

  1. There is widespread anti-incumbency sentiment exhibited in elections from South Africa to Iran to the UK. This trend indicates a desire for change and dissatisfaction with the current leadership, which can lead to political instability. Businesses need to be prepared for potential policy changes and shifts in government priorities that could affect their operations.
  2. Voters have been shifting away from traditional right-of-center and left-of-center parties in favor of new parties, populist parties and extremist parties. The rise of new, populist and extremist parties can lead to an unpredictable policy environment. These parties often have different economic and regulatory agendas, which can create uncertainty for businesses. Companies must stay agile and adaptable to navigate these changes, including investing effort in understanding the likely policy priorities of these new parties.
  3. These elections have once again reminded us of the significant impact of electoral rules on election results, as seen in the contrasting French EU parliament and national parliamentary elections. The way electoral rules shape election outcomes highlights the importance of understanding local political systems. Businesses operating in multiple regions need to be aware of how these rules can affect political stability and policymaking, which in turn can influence their strategic planning and risk management. 

The U.S. presidential election represents a critical juncture with far-reaching implications for global balance and dynamics and has the potential to profoundly shape international relations and policies. Understanding how elections and business are interlinked is crucial. For instance, changes in foreign policy could affect trade agreements, tariffs and international partnerships, impacting businesses that operate globally. Different election results across the U.S. presidential and congressional elections can result in potentially different approaches to economic policy and regulation. Different combinations of outcomes could lead to political uncertainty and instability, resulting in market volatility. Businesses must be ready to navigate fluctuating political, economic and financial conditions both in the U.S. and globally and adjust their strategies to mitigate risks and capitalize on opportunities.

Developing adaptable strategies to navigate complex and dynamic environments is essential. Equip your organization with tools for comprehensive risk assessment and future planning to stay ahead of global trends and developments.

Elections Impacting Business Strategies Articles

Results for the U.S. 2024 Election: Current Status and Future Implications

Results for the U.S. 2024 Election: Current Status and Future Implications

The 2024 U.S. election followed global trends of anti-incumbency and support for populist parties and candidates. The results reveal a deeply divided electorate, with Trump securing a narrow yet decisive victory in the Electoral College and the popular vote still close to evenly split.

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Results for the U.S. 2024 Election

What Have We Learned About GenAI and Elections?

Despite increased AI-generated content, major democratic concerns have not materialized. Discover insights on what we have learned about GenAI and elections past the midpoint of the year of the election.

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Assessing the Economic Impact on Businesses Post-Election

From tax policy and regulation to spending priorities and international trade, the candidates in the U.S. presidential election, and to a greater or lesser extent in this year’s wave of elections in the UK, France, India and elsewhere around the world, have espoused widely divergent policy directions with potentially significant implications for the economy.

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Elections, AI and Regulation: Balancing Security and Innovation

AI’s role in global elections is reshaping how governments balance innovation with the need for regulation. Discover how recent elections are driving new approaches to AI oversight and what it means for the future of technology.

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Elections, AI and Regulation: Balancing Security and Innovation

Elections and Their Impact on Global Regulatory Environments

As we approach the close of a pivotal election year globally, Kroll’s experts provide insights into the regulatory risks confronting businesses in the U.S., UK, France, and beyond, helping global businesses navigate these complexities effectively.

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Elections and Financial Crime: Navigating a Shifting Landscape

As global elections reshape the political landscape, the future of financial crime regulation and enforcement hangs in the balance. Explore how changing leadership across major economies can influence financial integrity, compliance, and global sanctions, and learn how businesses can proactively adapt to these shifts.

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How Elections Influence Business Strategies—Adapting to Change

Our experts explore how elections influence global market conditions, business strategies and regulations.


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